01-मई-2022
Biden Orders Study into Developing a Digital Dollar
It seems that the USA is finally
giving the idea of developing the digital dollar the attention it deserves. On
March 9, Biden signed an executive order requiring the government to assess the
risks and benefits of developing a digital dollar. He has asked the Treasury
Department, the Commerce Department and other agencies to develop a report of
the future of money and the role of digital currencies in this.
This comes as a result of the explosive
growth of cryptocurrencies which has surpassed $3 trillion US dollars, which could
pose a threat to the US dollar as the reserve currency underpinning world
financial markets. This could also affect US competitiveness as well as its national
security. Understanding the cryptocurrency world including its opportunities
and risks is essential as digital assets are affecting how people access
banking, improving financial inclusion through digital technology.
The US government needs to
understand digital currencies in light of the volatile, unregulated environment
in which they currently operate and how they can develop something which is
better regulated. This exercise will also allow the US administration to
understand the infrastructure that is needed to ensure the proper development
and smooth introduction of a digital dollar with all the necessary check and
balances in place. Such a decision needs to be taken with care as the
implications of moving in this direction are profound for the stability of international
monetary systems that currently rely on the US dollar.
Having a digital dollar that is
properly managed and controlled makes sense, allowing faster, more accurate
transactions to take place, which also helps to address inefficiencies in the
current US payment system. Technology leads to greater efficiency, better
transparency and faster processing, which is essential in a world that is
already well on its digital journey.
I fear though that the rate of
progress developing a digital dollar is far too slow compared to counterparts
across the world. If the US government takes too long to develop the digital
dollar, this entire industry could move to other financial centers that have the
needed digital currency infrastructures in place.
Trials of China’s digital yuan
(e-CNY) started in October 2020, with the Chinese Central Bank – The Peoples
Bank of China (PBOC) – piloting the digital currency. The European Central Bank
has been tinkering with the idea of a digital euro since July 2021, reporting
that it needs two years to investigate what this might look like.
The Federal Reserve’s desire to
create a digital dollar is still many years away with work very much in the
preliminary research phase. Although the Federal Reserve released a paper in
January 2022 about the pros and cons of adopting a digital dollar, the ultimate
decision regarding adoption lies with the US congress. With many intra party
divides, it seems there is no consensus for the development of a digital
dollar. This adds to an already divided political climate in the US.
Even with Biden’s executive order
for a comprehensive report, it will take years to develop and pilot a viable
product, by which time the USA will be way behind the curve which will further
threaten its position as a global leader.