Abu-Ghazaleh’s 2nd Analysis of Iran-US-Israel War Development

18-三月-2026

Abu-Ghazaleh’s 2nd Analysis of Iran-US-Israel War Development


1. It is evident that what we are experiencing is far beyond a transit confrontation; rather it is a path that extend for multiparty conflict, as I previously anticipated from the first day.
2. The model is a long-period war that includes negotiation phases without reaching any decisive deal which may expand to exceed a one-year period.
3. Integrating new dimensions in the mutual strikes will not yield decisive results; rather, it will keep the conflict open to further escalation and diversification of goals.
4. It is natural that some major countries will hold back from direct engagement. China, for instance, due to its extended agreements and strategic ties with Iran is unlikely to engage military in this confrontation.
5. The same applies to Russia, ally of Iran, as it is unexpected to act against Iran or directly engage in the conflict.
6. What is happening today, and what will happen indicates that the new phase will be more complex and difficult. Where the next battlefield (after Europe and our region) is likely to shift to the South China Sea, ultimately escalating into the peak of the Third World War.
7. While the focus is on the military results, the accompanying economic and social outcomes; including depletion, recession, and economic decline, ultimately determine the standing of major powers in the emerging World Order.

Meanwhile, the future remains open to multiple possibilities, each of which calls for 3rd analysis




AI

TAG AI

欢迎来到 TAG AI!

问我任何问题,我会尽力帮助你。

login